Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 1274.419140 1455.766345 1659.898799 1907.892832 2202.616095 2543.638927 2970.937734
2025-06-29 971.983263 1198.000098 1477.579280 1853.497454 2352.906032 3003.939919 3934.281992
2025-07-06 803.165870 1036.830688 1343.217997 1782.675003 2410.846083 3298.904819 4691.751473
2025-07-13 731.159497 982.056151 1328.069340 1853.566296 2656.253484 3879.970168 5978.876586
2025-07-20 663.504784 920.323599 1289.451175 1877.446051 2827.818062 4375.263560 7251.632879
2025-07-27 609.930665 870.034470 1257.689537 1902.025543 2998.276208 4895.581099 8703.085131
2025-08-03 563.771933 824.221088 1225.051006 1917.213027 3151.266430 5411.895867 10292.978632
2025-08-10 534.749875 800.727998 1223.138913 1980.741353 3396.745967 6146.630529 12560.636444
2025-08-17 506.259442 774.507295 1212.779090 2026.527320 3615.547136 6876.536841 15074.459409
2025-08-24 477.710605 744.963293 1192.872151 2051.090213 3795.916092 7566.821786 17754.780769
2025-08-31 450.881182 715.500089 1169.461561 2064.976684 3955.803059 8248.937005 20693.673510
2025-09-07 431.504146 696.819531 1162.789150 2109.617364 4188.189526 9157.875577 24694.661813
2025-09-14 396.480695 648.551487 1099.015881 2034.792557 4150.397690 9412.935938 26869.678990
2025-09-21 366.327526 606.689889 1043.495853 1970.623949 4128.102662 9710.536817 29377.283493
2025-09-28 337.964203 565.792804 985.946773 1894.802515 4064.819442 9882.617931 31543.766895
2025-10-05 329.856817 561.414785 998.187515 1971.149720 4389.607541 11249.875921 39199.992328
2025-10-12 316.809357 546.633507 988.349462 1996.897664 4591.068255 12317.954640 46427.963235
2025-10-19 304.881643 532.994311 979.413688 2023.400903 4800.439805 13484.762132 55106.628223
2025-10-26 292.912076 518.319532 966.913209 2039.780217 4985.846334 14640.509904 64831.485352
2025-11-02 286.438135 513.932783 975.478749 2108.317157 5336.892989 16523.319362 80769.723802
2025-11-09 278.656464 506.294171 976.302861 2157.735993 5643.274011 18373.869148 98975.778840
2025-11-16 269.527715 495.220020 968.577558 2184.255650 5885.592149 20080.920031 118736.587482
2025-11-23 260.133262 482.921441 957.024242 2199.250759 6095.342639 21752.509465 141052.824838